关于可供取舍的可能性原则的一个再思考——在哈里·G.法兰克福的自主性理论框架内

法兰克福在关于相容性问题的讨论当中最引人注目的贡献,就是通过法兰克福反例对可供取舍的可能性原则进行的批驳.但是,可供取舍的可能性原则所表达的那种必要性似乎仍然是我们的一个难以消除的直觉.尝试在法兰克福的自主性理论框架内找到一种对可供取舍的可能性原则的解释,或许能够为我们的这个直觉和法兰克福的自主性理论同时提供支持.     

黎族地区社会生态论析

本文从弘扬诚信讲礼精神、友好团结进步;倡导社会公平正义、开创教育公平新局面;农村公共事业快速发展、改革开放成果惠及农民等层面,论述黎族地区平衡有序的社会生态。     

Bayesian prediction for small areas using sur models

Sample surveys are usually designed and analyzed to produce estimates for larger areas and/or populations. Nevertheless, sample sizes are often not large enough to give adequate precision for small area estimates of interest. To circumvent such difficulties, borrowing strength from related small areas via modeling becomes essential. In line with this, we propose a hierarchical multivariate Bayes prediction method for small area estimation based on the seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) model. The performance of the proposed method was evaluated through simulation studies.     

明代大儒孙应鳌及共著述考论——《淮海易谈》、《督学文集》点校合刊序

孙应鳌乃崛起于西南地区之一代鸿儒，阳明后学发展之又一思想文化高峰。惜其著述散佚隐晦者甚多，有分量之研究成果仍不多见。故多方爬疏史料，搜考遗文，厘清其著述流传之屋略，探赜其学术思想之归趣，分期分批整理出版其撰作，最终则编纂较为完整之《孙应鳌全集》，非特有裨于重新定位评价黔中王门之学术文化贡献，亦可更好地还原凸显明代心学思想世界之地域分布图景。     

知识经济对财务管理的影响

从筹资、投资、成本管理、收益分配等环节讨论了知识经济对财务管理的影响。基于这几方面的影响，财务管理应主动进行自我调整．从指标的设置，智力资产的量化及财务报表反映的宽度上着手，使财务管理适应时代的要求。     

Serving families with child maltreatment and substance use disorders: A decade of learning

ABSTRACT

An increase in parental substance use disorders (SUD) and the number of infants and toddlers entering foster care has prompted federal and state efforts to change the treatment paradigm toward more integrated and family-centered strategies. The Regional Partnership Grant (RPG) program demonstrated that family-centered strategies can improve child and parent outcomes. The current challenge is to bring effective strategies to scale. This conceptual article highlights the lessons learned from 10 years of implementing and evaluating programs to meet the needs of families affected by parental SUD and child maltreatment. Effective family-centered strategies identified by the RPG program are illustrated with specifics from the Sobriety Treatment and Recovery Team program. These effective strategies could be implemented in any jurisdiction and include (1) collaboration toward integrated services between child welfare and SUD treatment, (2) timely access to SUDS treatment, (3) recovery management and support, (4) tailored family services, and (5) adaptation to local jurisdiction needs. When these strategies are operational, children are more likely to be safe and remain in parent custody, and parents are more likely to achieve sobriety and improve their parental capacity. Future research might examine the unique impact of each of the five strategies independently.     

Small area estimation under a multivariate linear model for repeated measures data

In this article, small area estimation under a multivariate linear model for repeated measures data is considered. The proposed model aims to get a model which borrows strength both across small areas and over time. The model accounts for repeated surveys, grouped response units, and random effects variations. Estimation of model parameters is discussed within a likelihood based approach. Prediction of random effects, small area means across time points, and per group units are derived. A parametric bootstrap method is proposed for estimating the mean squared error of the predicted small area means. Results are supported by a simulation study.     

‘They are just good people…generally good people’: perspectives of young men on relationships with social care workers in the UK

The perspectives of marginalised young men on what they value in relationships with social care workers are under‐researched and have not received adequate attention within policy and practice literatures. Moreover, problematic assumptions about gender pervade much political and cultural commentary. Research findings from a study of 50 young men, aged between 16 and 25, attending a range of social care services, are highly significant in this context. They highlight young men's investment in a language of care and respect and their rejection of categorical presumptions. However, the services were steeped in practices and understandings of their marginalisation and offered important opportunities for recognition.     

Problematising Australia's Nanny Pilot Program as evidence‐based policy: A reconstruction of the problem of childcare

In a notable departure from long‐standing childcare policy in Australia, in January 2016 fee relief was extended to nannies providing in‐home care in a 2‐year pilot program. This policy is significant as fee relief is not tied to the meeting of regulatory requirements designed to ensure quality early learning and care for young children. Drawing on Carol Bacchi's approach to policy analysis, this paper extends previous problematising of evidence‐based policy by highlighting the value of first considering how a policy ‘problem’ has been constructed. We propose that the nanny pilot is an ideologically driven policy that has emanated from a construction of childcare that is adult (parent)‐centred and marginalises the needs and interests of young children. Accordingly, certain evidence is privileged while other evidence is ignored, with the ensuing policy focused on economic imperatives rather than quality early learning and care experiences for young children. We draw on an analysis of parent, peak body and researcher submissions to the Productivity Commission's 2013–2014 childcare inquiry, nanny‐focused research, and data from three national surveys to explore the limitations of such a policy approach. The utility of problem reconstruction as a means of disrupting policy‐informed evidence and the legitimisation of purported evidence‐based policy is considered.     

A Transformation Programme for Children's Social Care Managers Using an Interactional and Reflective Supervision Model to Develop Supervision Skills

In this paper, I describe a programme to promote interactional and reflective supervision for managers in children's services. The programme works at whole system change to embed a culture of reflective practice and management.